Sorry to Make You Cry XV

Anaxagoras · Post by **Anaxagoras** » Mon Jan 20, 2020 6:51 am

Well, just to play it out, I'll pick the Queefs to lose the Superbowl.

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Mon Jan 20, 2020 7:28 am

I think we have a winner, mathematically--even if Doc X gambles and loses, and Evolver gambles and wins, the rankings don't change.

Am I mistaken?

Pyrrho · Post by **Pyrrho** » Mon Jan 20, 2020 10:51 am

DJ · Post by DJ » Mon Jan 20, 2020 9:27 pm

Did I get the Radrick Gambling Bonus?

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Tue Jan 21, 2020 2:04 am

For completions sake, I am standing on my dipshit bonus and not gambling.

shemp · Post by **shemp** » Tue Jan 21, 2020 2:48 am

Yes, I guess I'll just take my Dipshit Bonus too.

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Tue Jan 21, 2020 6:13 am

DJ wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2020 9:27 pm Did I get the Radrick Gambling Bonus?

I did not think you had the team already. Let me look. . . .

Fixed!

You lost 4 points.

– J.D.

DJ · Post by DJ » Tue Jan 21, 2020 12:24 pm

Thanks!

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Tue Jan 21, 2020 12:58 pm

A commentary on my "system", such as it is... this time around there was very little opportunity to make strategic choices, especially in the late game. Again and again, the choice with the highest expected point value by probability had no alternative where I could consider a less likely pick with higher potential point value in an attempt to gain ground on the field at large. Any alternatives were inferior even with the pick's success as a given.

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Wed Jan 22, 2020 7:33 am

In other words, you failed.

– J.D.

Pyrrho · Post by **Pyrrho** » Wed Jan 22, 2020 11:26 am

That should go in your sig.

DJ · Post by DJ » Wed Jan 22, 2020 1:50 pm

But we all get participation trophies

, right?

izittrue · Post by **izittrue** » Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:59 pm

So I can pick either. Hmm. I’ll take Joe Montana’s team.

Anaxagoras · Post by **Anaxagoras** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 2:35 am

gnome wrote: ↑Tue Jan 21, 2020 12:58 pm A commentary on my "system", such as it is... this time around there was very little opportunity to make strategic choices, especially in the late game. Again and again, the choice with the highest expected point value by probability had no alternative where I could consider a less likely pick with higher potential point value in an attempt to gain ground on the field at large. Any alternatives were inferior even with the pick's success as a given.

It was just not the year for me this year either. Many of the picks I made which seemed like good picks at the time just didn't pan out while those who followed the consensus pick were generally rewarded. I think it demonstrates that it really doesn't pay over the long run to try to go your own way too much and pick teams that others aren't picking that week.

Let's see what the most popular pick for each week was, and what happened:
Week 1: Squeelers

Week 2: Ain'ts

Week 3: Cravens

Week 4: Swills

Week 5: Lambs

Week 6: Whiners

Week 7: Da Bears

Week 8: Queefs

Week 9: ViQueens

Week 10: Seamen

(this was the week to pick the 69ers, tied for 2nd most popular choice)
Week 11: Steers 'n Queers

Week 12: Fudge Packers

Week 13: 69rs

Week 14: Faints, Queefs (tied)

,

Week 15: Da Bears

Week 16: 4 teams had 2 picks, no consensus choice
Week 17: Seamen

Sorta shows there was a "wisdom of the crowd" thing as you would have done pretty well just picking the most popular choice each week as there were only a few weeks where that didn't work.

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:41 pm

And yet, making the most popular pick each week is no way to win either.

izittrue · Post by **izittrue** » Tue Jan 28, 2020 8:19 pm

Just for fun I’ll pick be 69’ers. The chiefs should be a lock to win the Bowl.

DJ · Post by DJ » Tue Jan 28, 2020 9:28 pm

I’ll gamble and take the chefs to lose.

WildCat · Post by **WildCat** » Sun Feb 02, 2020 1:36 am

I'm gonna pick the 69ers.

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Sun Feb 02, 2020 6:28 pm

Super Bowl Pickies:

Loser	Team	Result
gnome
Evolver
Anaxagoras	Queefs
*His Humble MagNIfIcence*
Pyrrho	69'rs
Enchantress	Queefs
izittrue	69'rs
Radrick	Queefs
Wildcat	69'rs
Grammatron	69'rs
shemp
DJ	Queefs

– J.D.

P.S. May take a bit to add this all up. . . .

izittrue · Post by **izittrue** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 2:21 am

Oops. I picked the 69 ers to lose that means they’ll win. Sorry about my earlier post. I jinxed myself. Super bowl in 4K is nice.

Anaxagoras · Post by **Anaxagoras** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 3:39 am

I didn't get to watch cuz I'm at work but it looks like it was a fun game to watch. I'm glad the Chiefs finally won. I think anyone who isn't a hardcore Niners fan was probably rooting for the Chiefs to win this one. I was anyway.

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 4:01 am

Well, I will say Kyle Shanahan is consistent. . . .

– J.D.

WildCat · Post by **WildCat** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 5:08 am

I won a $25 final score strip card (meaning $225 winnings) so I'm good!

Anaxagoras · Post by **Anaxagoras** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 5:19 am

So did Tom Brady confirm that he'll be back in uniform next season?

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 6:02 am

Congrats to our winner and thanks for another fun year!

Another new rule suggestion, proposed for next year.

Time to Cry (obviously a different name can be picked, that's just a suggestion)
If two or more players are eligible for the Dipshit Bonus coming into the Super Bowl, they may forego both that bonus and the opportunity to Radrick gamble, and instead wager any number of points up to their current total. Chose poorly and lose the declared number of points. Choose wisely and gain that number of points.

Pyrrho · Post by **Pyrrho** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 7:16 am

Doctor X wins again.

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 7:23 am

Checks Sig

Waaaaiiiiiitttttttt. . . .

– J.D.

Pyrrho · Post by **Pyrrho** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 11:46 am

NSFW:

izittrue · Post by **izittrue** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 7:30 pm

Pyrrho wrote: ↑Mon Feb 03, 2020 7:16 am Doctor X wins again.

It’s rigged. Ha.
Thx DocX for another great sporting event. Gambling without losing money. That’s a win. As I say at the end of every season, “Wait til next year”. Go Cubs.

Evolver · Post by **Evolver** » Mon Feb 03, 2020 8:14 pm

Another good contest, even though Pogue Mahomes won the SB.

shemp · Post by **shemp** » Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:47 am

How can you call this? The numbers from Iowa aren't in yet!

Pyrrho · Post by **Pyrrho** » Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:56 am

Quiet...don't forget, he gets to pick the movie.

Anaxagoras · Post by **Anaxagoras** » Tue Feb 04, 2020 11:17 am

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:16 am

gnome wrote: ↑Mon Feb 03, 2020 6:02 amTime to Cry (obviously a different name can be picked, that's just a suggestion)
If two or more players are eligible for the Dipshit Bonus coming into the Super Bowl, they may forego both that bonus and the opportunity to Radrick gamble, and instead wager any number of points up to their current total. Chose poorly and lose the declared number of points. Choose wisely and gain that number of points.

Hmmmm . . . my problem with that is Perpetual Losers like, well, you [Stop that! – Ed.], well myself other years could just bet everything to fuck with all of the leaders. Now the ones who picked wisely/lucky all during the season face the fear of having to risk all of that because someone with a 20+ deficit decides to "bet it all."

However, I do see the desire to keep things competitive within reason "'til the end."

– J.D.

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Wed Feb 05, 2020 12:04 pm

That is my interest. If a variation will accomplish the same, maybe some other idea. My envisioning of this method was sort of the idea that managing to collect both Super Bowl teams gets you into "Final Jeopardy" as it were. But I think you could be right that a 50/50 chance puts too much pressure on the leader, who should have an advantage.

Anaxagoras · Post by **Anaxagoras** » Wed Feb 05, 2020 3:08 pm

I'm not endorsing the idea, but if we did go that route, I think there should be a limit to how much you can bet (25 maybe). If there were a way to make a sealed bid, it might add a bit more drama. Might be doable with PMs. Unlike other weeks, everyone's pick for the Super Bowl could be a secret pick. We'd have to draft someone to be the "designated custodian of the Super Bowl picks" or whatever, particularly if Doctor X is in the lead or in the running to win. Like, it could be whoever is in last place or something like that, so that knowing other's picks doesn't really help them.

izittrue · Post by **izittrue** » Thu Feb 06, 2020 12:50 am

I like the last place option.

gnome · Post by **gnome** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 2:43 am

I am interested in the final scores, if that is coming. And the movie pick!

Doctor X · Post by **Doctor X** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:42 am

Been thinking on the latter point for some time.

Will make a decision this weekend.

– J.D.

shemp · Post by **shemp** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 1:51 pm

AHA! It's a cover up! The app is a fraud! Bernie's the real winner! WAKE UP SHEEPLES!!!1!!1!